永华配资会议预告丨人大国发院“理论与政策”研讨会（第217-218期）_Urban_This_at

人大国发院“理论与政策”研讨会永华配资

（第217期）

From Exclusion to Belonging: Driven Strategies for Sustainable Urban Communities

可持续城市社区的数据驱动策略

主讲：Helen Bao（剑桥大学土地经济系教授，跨学科空间分析实验室主任）

主持：肖超伟（中国人民大学国家发展与战略研究院）

时间：2025年7月25日10:00-10:45

地点：立德教学楼11层1133会议室

报告摘要：

展开剩余91%

This talk provides an overview of two ongoing interdisciplinary research projects at the Lab for Interdisciplinary Spatial Analysis (LISA), University of Cambridge. LISA’s research reimagines urban futures through an interdisciplinary lens, tackling exclusion with cutting-edge data science. The first project investigates housing discrimination using a multi-methods framework, combining experimental techniques (e.g., correspondence testing) with large-scale observational data. Findings reveal persistent racial and gender biases in housing markets, shaped by colonial legacies and socio-cultural perceptions. This work not only advances academic understanding but also informs policy interventions to promote inclusive urban development. The second project pioneers AI-augmented spatial personality research, leveraging social media data and large language models (LLMs) to analyze personality traits (e.g., Openness, Neuroticism) at unprecedented resolution. This scalable, cost-efficient method replaces traditional surveys, enabling real-time insights for applications in urban planning, behavioral geography, and housing market dynamics. By integrating economics, psychology, and spatial analysis, LISA’s research offers actionable tools for policymakers and opens avenues for cross-disciplinary collaboration. The talk concludes with reflections on future directions, including cross-cultural validation and policy integration, inviting potential partners to explore joint initiatives in addressing urban inequalities and sustainable development.

报告人简介：

Dr. Helen Bao is a Professor of Urban Economics & Public Policy at the Department of Land Economy and a Fellow in Land Economy at the Newnham College, University of Cambridge. She is also the Director of the Lab of Interdisciplinary Spatial Analysis. After completing her PhD in Statistics at the City University of Hong Kong, Helen joined the University of Cambridge in 2006. Helen's research focuses on government policy and interventions that facilitate market operations and mitigate market failures in urban settings, such as sustainable urbanization and housing affordability. On the technical front, she specializes in the application of behavioral insights and hedonic price modelling in land and housing markets. Helen's new book, " Behavioral Economic Analysis of Institutional Changes: Lessons learned from China's Land System Reforms," pushes the research frontier of behavioral urban studies. Helen has published extensively on the application of behavioral insights in real estate markets in Urban Studies, Regional Sciences, Land Use Policy, Housing Studies, Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Cities, Transport and Research Part F - Traffic Psychology and Behavior, among others. Helen's research has received grants from the Economic and Social Research Council (UK) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China. She is an Associate Editor of Cities and an editorial board member of key journals in the area of urban studies, such as Land Use Policy.

人大国发院“理论与政策”研讨会

（第218期）

Is the ECB’s Monetary Policy Doomed to Overshoot? Consequences of Leaving out Owner-occupied Housing Costs in the HICP

欧洲央行货币政策是否注定“超调”？—— 剔除自有住房成本对HICP的影响分析永华配资

主讲：Sofie Waltl（剑桥大学土地经济系助理教授）

主持：肖超伟（中国人民大学国家发展与战略研究院）

时间：2025年7月25日10:45-11:30

地点：立德教学楼11层1133会议室

报告摘要：

How does the digital era alter familiar features of international trade? We explore such questions using exports of US movies which have gone from physical films to digital files. Unsurprisingly, digitization reduces the gravity effect: A one-standard-deviation increase in digitization reduces the distance elasticity from -0.46 to -0.40. More interestingly, digitization weakens the Washington Apples effect: The average gap in the distance elasticities between top and bottom quality movies (those at the 10th and 90th percentiles of lMDb ratings) is 0.240; a one-standard-deviation increase in digitization reduces this gap by 0.11. Our results are robust to alternative measures of digitization and quality. This implies that producers of lower quality varieties benefit disproportionately from digitization.

欧盟已就如何将“自有住房（OOH）”纳入“欧盟统一消费者价格指数（HICP）”展开了长达20余年的讨论。HICP 是欧洲央行制定货币政策的核心通胀指标。我们在本研究中提出了一种具有良好性质、不会破坏 HICP 稳定性的解决方案。研究显示，如果采用我们扩展后的 HICP 方案，欧洲央行本可以更早预测2022年这类通胀冲击，因为该方案会使测得的通胀率更早突破2%的目标水平。此外，我们的测度结果与家庭实际感受到的通胀水平更加一致。

报告人简介：

Sofie Waltl is Assistant Professor in Real Estate Economics and Finance at the Department of Land Economy and Director of Studies at Murray Edwards College. She is an applied economist interested in housing markets, economic measurement, and inequality research. Her research has been published in various academic journals including Explorations in Economic History, International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Management Science, Real Estate Economics, Regional Science and Urban Economics, Review of Income and Wealth, The Journal of Economic Inequality and The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics. Additionally, she has successfully applied for competitive research grants, has been awarded several prizes and recognitions, and media outlets worldwide have quoted her research.

文章来源：人大国发院

审核：秦聪

微信编辑：张菁菁

人大国发院是中国人民大学集全校之力重点打造的中国特色新型高校智库，现任理事长为学校党委书记张东刚，现任院长为校长林尚立。2015年入选全国首批“国家高端智库”建设试点单位，并入选全球智库百强，2018年初在“中国大学智库机构百强排行榜”中名列第一。2019年在国家高端智库综合评估中入选第一档次梯队，是唯一入选第一档次梯队的高校智库。

人大国发院积极打造“新平台、大网络，跨学科、重交叉，促创新、高产出”的高端智库平台。围绕经济治理与经济发展、政治治理与法治建设、社会治理与社会创新、公共外交与国际关系四大研究领域，汇聚全校一流学科优质资源，在基础建设、决策咨询、公共外交、理论创新、舆论引导和内部治理等方面取得了显著成效。人大国发院以“中国特色新型高校智库的引领者”为目标，扎根中国大地，坚守国家战略，秉承时代使命，致力于建设成为具有全球影响力的世界一流大学智库。

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